“Civil War” in America over Iran and the danger of a new and nuclear “August 4, 1914”

19/06/2025

By Dimitris Konstantakopoulos
Jun 18, 2025

We are already in the midst of an international conflict that may determine the course of humanity for decades, and which also significantly increases the risks not only for its prosperity, but for its very survival. In a previous article we wrote yesterday, we already analyzed some of the basic strategic parameters of this rapidly escalating crisis and explained why the Israeli strategy leads to nuclear war https://www.defenddemocracy.press/israels-strategy-leads-to-nuclear-war/ if the Jewish state is not faced with dilemmas concerning its very existence. Because, as a critical Jewish review observes, Israel’s real enemy is not Iran or Hamas, but its own Hybris. But it is not only Israel’s Hybris; it is also the hybris of powerful circles in the USA and the international financial capital, just as vast as the stupidity and corruption overflowing from European leadership—especially the German—which is no less foolish, dangerous and corrupted than our own, the Greek.

Regimes like Netanyahu’s only back down if they hit a wall—if they face an existential threat to their state.

As the spokesperson of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs highlighted just a few hours ago, the “world is now millimeters away from a disaster.” https://www.defenddemocracy.press/moscow-on-nuclear-escalation-threat-in-middle-east-world-millimeters-away-from-disaster/ . This was preceded by the Russian Deputy Foreign Minister https://www.defenddemocracy.press/russia-tells-us-not-to-strike-iran-warns-of-nuclear-catastrophe/ who stated that Russia is telling the United States not to attack Iran and added that Israeli attacks risk causing a nuclear catastrophe. It is the first time that the usually rather conservative and extremely cautious Russian diplomacy uses such expressions. We certainly hope it is not too late.

Equally indicative of the critical nature of developments is that yesterday, Chinese President Xi broke his silence on Iran https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/chinas-xi-blames-israeli-attacks-on-iran-for-sudden-escalation-of-tensions-in-mideast/3601758

The nuclear war has already begun

Israel has in fact already launched a nuclear attack on Iran by striking its nuclear facilities. It is impossible to do this without causing some small or large release of radioactivity. If we don’t hear anything about this, it is probably because it suits neither Tehran, nor Tel Aviv, nor anyone else for us to hear anything about it.

Only yesterday did the International Atomic Energy Agency react—which, incidentally, recently assisted Israel by falsifying critical data on Iran’s nuclear program—stating that any bombing of nuclear facilities carries the risk of radioactive leakage. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HOEMHNPWcLY

A generalization, however, of attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities by Israel and/or the USA means the spread of radiological contamination across the entire wider region. Any immediate intervention by the US with all the means at its disposal would mean an unprecedented regional—at the very least—ecological and a global economic crisis, but also would increase the risk of regional and/or global war to levels not seen even during the Cuban missile crisis.

Israel’s motives

Israel, of course, wants to neutralize Iran’s nuclear program. As Thatcher once said, in a moment of rare honesty—or rather British cynicism—we don’t want third countries to acquire nuclear weapons, not because they’ll attack us, but because they’ll prevent us from intervening in them.

But here the issue isn’t even that. The Israelis have been saying for over twenty years that Tehran will have the bomb in twenty days or two months. But recently, the entirety of US intelligence services, headed by Trump appointee Tulsi Gabbard, concluded that Iran is not working on building a nuclear bomb https://news.antiwar.com/2025/06/17/us-intelligence-iran-was-not-pursuing-nuclear-bomb-before-israels-attack/ , triggering a nervous crisis in an increasingly incoherent and contradictory Trump (under mounting pressure from increasingly powerful opposing forces), who stated he believes Israel and not the US intelligence services.

What Mr. Netanyahu wants is not merely to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. He wants to realize the dream of creating Greater Israel and complete the neoconservative program he himself helped design, which included the already achieved destruction of six states (Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Sudan, Somalia, Syria). What remains of the original plan is Iran and North Korea.

This is no secret. Israeli geopolitical analysts have written and spoken about this for decades, as have American neoconservatives and Netanyahu himself. It’s just that very few around the world considered it in their interest to take all of that seriously.

Israel’s plan and Trump’s role

In an article https://www.defenddemocracy.press/now-irans-turn-the-spectre-of-a-new-1989/ I wrote last December, I predicted the war that has now erupted, explained that Israel’s plan is to drag the US into war, and that Trump must, in order to succeed in the “mission” assigned to him, do two things. On the one hand to suppress internal US opposition—after deceiving voters and his own associates by posing as an opponent of war. On the other, to calm and mislead, together with Netanyahu and the Lobby, Russia and China so that they don’t react in time and decisively to a war that, though targeting Iran, also threatens their own vital interests.

The war in the Middle East, the war in Ukraine, and the—for the time being only trade —war against China form three subchapters of the collective West’s war against the emerging alternative centers of power on the planet https://www.defenddemocracy.press/from-the-war-against-russia-to-the-war-against-china-american-vs-russian-nationalism/.

Netanyahu calculated that the fall of Syria, Trump’s election in the USA, the weakening of Hezbollah and the Palestinians, Russian involvement in Ukraine, China’s reluctance to meddle to any geopolitical problems except Taiwan, and, of course, his enormous influence in the world, proven beyond doubt by the tolerance of the Palestinian genocide provide him with a unique “window of opportunity” to destroy Iran and control all the “wider Middle East”.

Netanyahu has two advantages, compared with the forces opposing him. First he has a truly global and long-term strategy. Second he is radical compared to the rather conservative forces they may oppose his plans. Of course those same advantages can turn into dis-advantages if he miscalculates.

As we are informed today by an article—though containing many misleading elements, as expected under the influence of the lobby—of the New York Times, Israel began indeed preparing for the current war exactly last December https://www.timesofisrael.com/report-reveals-trumps-winding-path-from-skeptic-to-backer-of-israels-iran-strike/

We are sorry—certainly not happy—that the hopes of many people in Greece and abroad are being dashed, those who were outraged by establishment politics and the absence of the Left and placed their hopes in Trump and Trumpism, unfortunately ignoring all the signs that existed for a long time regarding the true nature of this movement https://www.defenddemocracy.press/can-trump-be-a-solution/ Reality punishes harshly those who ignore it.

Now the play is approaching its final and most decisive phase. Even with great delay, the reactions of the president’s own close associates are multiplying—those who believed he wanted MAGA, a great America, not MIGA, a great Israel!

Musk jumps the ship

Not coincidentally, a few days before the Israeli attack on Iran, Trump’s closest associate, Elon Musk, resigned. And he didn’t just resign—he also reminded everyone that the President’s name appears on the infamous Epstein lists. It is widely believed that with these lists, which contain names of public figures sexually involved with underage girls, some factions of Israel’s intelligence services and their various friends can intimidate or even blackmail a large portion of the global (and Israeli) political class and ruling elite—even the royal family of Great (hah!) Britain. And in case anyone dares tell us we’re talking nonsense, read here, for example: