The future of Gaza is linked to the results of the American elections and the clarification of the political project for the region

By Marwan Emil Toubassi

After it became clear what the United States seeks to play a major role in the framework of liquidating the Palestinian national liberation project and strengthening its control over the region in the face of the growing role of emerging countries and international groupings. American policy today is moving towards rearranging the Palestinian and Israeli political scene in a way that serves its alliances and interests and ensures relative “stability” in the American sense, on which the Democratic and Republican parties do not differ except in the approach to working sometimes in accordance with the determinants of cultural, religious, ideological and security relations with the state of occupation and its role and place in relation to the global colonial project.

Therefore, it can be said that there is an American trend that actually seeks to limit the Palestinian state without sovereignty that the American administration is talking about in the remaining cleared lands in the Gaza Strip after eliminating Hamas or significantly weakening it and completing the mission of destroying it that is currently underway until the end. This scenario supports the idea of keeping the “Palestinian file” away from any future threat to “Israel’s security” on the one hand, and prepares the ground for the emergence of a new Israeli government that is more compatible with the American vision of “regional peace” within the framework of the new Middle East project.

As for the West Bank, there appears to be a plan to fragment its regions into isolated cantons, ensuring that there is no unified Palestinian entity “capable of threatening Israel” and implementing sustainable development , progress and just peace for our people. An entity far from international rules and the legitimate rights of our people, after the occupation was able to eliminate what it could of the resistance pockets and cells in it, and to kill the culture of resistance and rip it off from its popular incubator, as if it were responsible for the destruction of our people, and that is in continuation of what is happening now in the camps and cities of the north within the framework of the broad zionist project and its clarity in the announced Israeli maps lately by Netnyahoo .

According to this vision, Jerusalem will of course be outside of any supposed real Palestinian-Israeli negotiation, if such a negotiation exists later, which I do not believe will happen based on the existing data. This is consistent with the current American and Israeli policy that recognizes Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and the Jewish status of some large settlement blocs in addition to reality there in the Jordan Valley and the city of Hebron after they were Judaized politically, economically, security-wise and demographically.

In this context, the “renewed” Palestinian Authority, in accordance with the repeatedly declared American plan and requirements, may have a compulsory role through this plan in the West Bank after completing the exhaustion of the components of the National Authority that were established in accordance with the Oslo Accords, which the occupying state executed and considered it doomed, as well as its financial budgets being pirated. On the part of the occupation and the American-European conditions in order to pay aid, in addition to the supposed lack of Arab financial and political fulfillment according to American pressures, and getting rid of the historical legacy of struggle of the Liberation Organization and the National Movement, first and foremost its backbone, the Fatah movement, which has lost many of its components, role and status. For reasons that are not hidden to anyone today, especially if the Hamas movement is weakened and replaced with an Islamic party similar to what happened in Turkey, and the stages of the early resolution plan if the religious zionism continue to be implemented and the mentality of accepting the status quo without working and struggling to change it is spread, which is something that has begun to appear among a few cultural and political Palestinians elites.

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The United States, with its historic strategic rejection of the right to self-determination for our Palestinian people, may seek to reconstitute the Palestinian National Authority or support a “new or renewed” leadership that will have the final say in its formation, with the support of the European Union, specifically its donors, and reproduce this plan within the framework of “regional autonomy.” In the form of Cantons isolated by colonial settlements, their expansion, and bypass roads, but without any real sovereignty over the land, security, and borders, far from the form of a sovereign state and its natural concept according to international law, approaching the concept of the state proposed by Trump within the framework of his vision for peace in the “Deal of the Century,” which was rejected by the Palestinians at the time.

This vision is now consistent with the game of negotiations on the deal to stop aggression and exchange prisoners, the chapters of which are drawn up by the American administration in partnership with Netanyahu in accordance with Kissinger’s negotiating rules that I referred to in a previous article, to procrastinate and procrastinate “yes” and “no” to what was stated in the Security Council resolution regarding it, which it approved. It is attacked by Hamas, and it is being undone Today, America and Israel, despite being their production and direction, are proposing new negotiating formulas that may be unacceptable to the Palestinian negotiating side, so that the responsibility for failure is held on it, and the occupation is given a longer time to implement its remaining goals.

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What is happening today requires careful monitoring of developments in the situation on the ground, especially with regard to conflicts within the framework of stifling crises in the Israeli government and the Israeli street on all issues except the issue of occupation, and the American moves towards the Gaza and West Bank issue based on rejecting the foundations of establishing a fully sovereign Palestinian state, despite the preoccupation. Today’s full update on the course of the electoral battle for the US presidency and the presence of other hotspots of tension around the world, specifically in Europe and the China Sea.

Therefore, the political project related to the future of Gaza becomes possible to talk about, about a truce, and about a role for the national authority only after the American elections, despite the Biden-Harris administration’s efforts to try to suggest that there is progress that will help their election campaigns in front of the Arab communities and others and in front of the progressive wing of their party, at a time when Trump’s ideas seem to be… On the other hand, the public is clear in claiming that Harris seeks to destroy Israel and undermine the principles of the United States, which is a matter that falls within a competition among them over who among them provides the greatest services to the occupation and apartheid state.

That political project requires an American leadership role that depends on the vision of the winning party despite the absence of fundamental differences between them, Arab cooperation and a “different or renewed” national authority according to the American concept that I mentioned, and a different kind of government in Israel that thinks about the future of the region and not the political future of a person. There is no future for him called “Bibi”Netanyahu.

In light of these political expectations, the recurring question today is related to how to confront this ongoing and accelerating plan after it has made extensive strides on the ground, in the face of the absence of effective action to stop the war of annihilation, and being content with observation without the unified involvement of all Palestinians in confronting the ongoing dangers, not through war. Genocide in GazaIts extensions are only in the Palestinian Bank, but through the annexation of parts of northern and southern Gaza and the return of settlement to its outskirts, to keep that state-like entity besieged. Failure to achieve the form of national unity required within the framework of the PLO and the absence of a clear and integrated vision and program that avoids only reactions or being drawn into an American mirage depends on ignoring the national political rights of our people through conflict management, maintaining the occupation in various forms, and discussing economic or security projects, without taking action. National reforms that have become a popular Palestinian demand to be a protective shield against all pressures aimed at imposing a renewed leadership internationally may not be national. All of this will weaken the Palestinian position based on the ability of our people to withstand challenges in the face of open possibilities.

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I do not claim to have the magic recipe to thwart these projects and move forward towards achieving the goals of the national liberation phase. But there are constants and foundations required by the battle for freedom and national independence, similar to the culture of global liberation movements, and in our case on the basis of the unity of the land, the people, the cause, and the culture of resistance in various forms that increase the cost of the occupation in an effective and responsible manner according to the available circumstances, and whose equation had to be protected from the beginning afterThe black coup, which greatly harmed our people, their national interests, and their standing before the world, and to continue later to expand the foundations of national unity among all components of our people, especially the youth, without limiting this to the National Action factions, so that the role and status of the PLO will increase locally, regionally, and internationally, especially within the framework of relations with the peoples of the world who have returned to demonstrating. With the start of the school year around the world on the one hand, and building on the collapse of the mentality of Israeli deterrence and terrorism in accordance with the development of events and the anger of the Arab peoples, which was represented by the feet of the martyr Maher Al-Jazi for what he did boldly and bravely in retaliation for what is happening to his Palestinian brothers, and for the Zionist ideological attempts that are also being made about the status of the alternative homeland by endangering Jordan’s stability and violating the sovereignty of other reginal countries , for the purpose of escalating a regional war

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