The Kurds rolled back ISIS – now the West has abandoned them
By Tim Black
18th December 2018
Since the Islamic State lost its two strongholds of Raqqa in Syria and Mosul in Iraq last year, there is a sense that ISIS is yesterday’s ‘imminent threat to every interest we have’, as then US defence secretary Chuck Hagel put it in 2014. Islamic State no longer feels like today’s news, appearing instead as a nostalgic blast from a pre-Brexit, pre-Trump past. Maybe no one much cares anymore.
How else to explain the near silence that greeted reports that the Kurdish-led Syrian Defence Forces (SDF) had captured the last town held by Islamic State just over a week ago? It certainly ought to have registered at some level in the Western public sphere. The battle against Islamic State was once headline news. Politicians from Barack Obama to David Cameron talked ISIS up as a direct threat to our way of life, a force intent on redrawing the map of the Middle East, and providing a beacon of Islamist light for malcontents the world over.
Yet at the moment when this threat looks to have been defeated, the moment when the SDF – backed by US airstrikes – looks to have hammered one of the final nails into the coffin of ISIS, taking Hajin in north-eastern Syria, the last significant urban area over which ISIS had any control, Western politicians remain tight-lipped, mute even.
Maybe the reason for this mutednessis is not that no one is paying much attention anymore, or that politicians are too distracted by domestic issues. Rather, it might be because, such is the almighty mess that an internationalised civil war has made of Syria, that the defeat of ISIS by the Kurds is potentially only a prelude to the deepening conflict in Syria between the US-backed Kurds and NATO member / US ally, Turkey.
The US, in particular, is torn over Syria at the moment, because its hamfisted meddling has seen it intervene on different sides of different conflicts at different times during the Syria crisis. It first inveighed against Bashar al-Assad and backed assorted Islamists and the Free Syrian Army. Then it backed the Kurds against the assorted Islamists and the Free Syrian Army. Then it tacitly supported Turkey against the Kurds. The US is pulled between an obligation to those it has used in the military battle against ISIS, and a powerful NATO member.
At the same time as US-backed Kurdish forces were nearing victory in Hajin, US ally Turkey was readying its military for an assault on, er, US-backed Kurdish forces. As Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, told MPs in Ankara on Wednesday: ‘We will begin our operation to free the east of the Euphrates [river in Syria] from the [Kurdish] separatist organisation within a few days.’
From Turkey’s perspective, this makes grim sense. The Turkish state has always asserted that those Kurdish forces – the People’s Protection Units (YPG) – that the US is backing in Syria are allied with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in Turkey, a group outlawed domestically, and classified as ‘terrorist’ internationally (including by the US).